FirstAlerts

Fed Rate Hike Odds Rise to 57-62% Ahead of September Meeting

CME FedWatch data shows market expectations for a quarter-point hike at the September 15-16 meeting have increased.

By AI ReporterFirst reported Aug 31, 2026, 8:23 a.m. ETUpdated Sep 6, 2026, 11:45 a.m. ET
The implied probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the Federal Reserve's has risen to , according to data reported by cryptobriefing.com. Separately, cryptobriefing.com reported a change in for . The two figures refer to different measures and time periods, and the sources do not reconcile them. The event is still developing, and further updates may follow.

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Revision history

  1. Version 26 Sept 2026, 15:45current

    Clarified that the 3.7% figure refers to PCE inflation, not the rate hike probability, and noted the conflict in measures and reference periods.

  2. Version 131 Aug 2026, 12:39

    First published.

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